Monday, May 20, 2019

First storm of 2019 hurricane season may form east of Florida tonight

Posted By on Mon, May 20, 2019 at 11:09 AM

click to enlarge PHOTO CRED: NHC.NOAA.GOV
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An area of low pressure is likely to form south of Bermuda late Monday, and the National Hurricane Center says there's a medium chance it will be the first tropical or subtropical depression of the 2019 hurricane season.

The early morning update says there's a 60 percent chance that the disturbed area will develop as early as this afternoon or early Tuesday morning. The NHC notes that by Wednesday, due to unfavorable conditions as a cold front blows through, the storm shouldn't develop further.

According to the NHC, a U.S. Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area Monday afternoon.

The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1.

Last month, AccuWeather forecasters predicted the 2019 hurricane season to finish near or just above the norm, with 12 to 14 storms expected to form.

However, the forecasters note, five to seven of those storms are predicted to actually develop into hurricanes. Two to four risk becoming major hurricanes, such as Hurricane Michael, which was recently upgraded to a rare Category 5 hurricane and which ripped through the Panhandle in October, causing up to $5 billion in insured property damage.

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